trip

NFL playoff photo ahead of week 11

Vaseline4 weeks ago

0 1 minute read

• Kansas City Chiefs look for home field advantage: According to PFF’s simulations, the Chiefs have an 80% chance of securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

• A huge week for the Packers: The Green Bay Packers have an 80% chance of making the playoffs with a win in Week 11, but their chances will drop to just 48% with a loss.

• Unlock your edge with a PFF+ subscription: Get full access to all our seasonal offers fantasy toolsincluding weekly rankingsWR/CB matchup charts, weekly projectionsthe Start-Sit Optimizer and more. Register now!

Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

The current situation before week 11

Current AFC Playoff Standings

The heads of Kansas City (9-0)
Buffalo Bills (8-2)
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2)
Houston Texans (6-4)
Baltimore Ravens (7-3)
Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)
Denver Broncos (5-5)

Current NFC Playoff Standings

Detroit Lions (8-1)
Philadelphia Eagles (7-2)
Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Minnesota Vikings (7-2)
Washington commanders (7-3)
Green Bay Packers (6-3)

If these rankings hold, we would welcome two new AFC teams (the Broncos and Chargers) and four new NFC teams (the Commanders, Falcons, Cardinals And Vikings) to the play-offs.

The projections

It is of course unlikely that the play-off picture will remain constant for the rest of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to go to the projected playoff picture — the estimated odds PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.

The following charts show the expected playoff odds for each team alongside the playoff leverage, i.e. how the playoff odds would change with a win or loss.

The logos show the current play-off chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the odds after winning, and the points to the left indicate the odds after losing.